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UPDATED: 03/02/2008
Forsyth County Schools

Summary: An analysis of the millage rates of the Forsyth County School system presents an unusual, if not unique study of how a government agency can accurately estimate property tax revenue, and then apparently match expenditures to fit the available funds.

For 2005-2006, the school system has an operations budget of $180,212,483. Of that amount, $93,422,988 must come from property tax revenue. In addition, the school system pays 2.5% (an estimated $2,395,460) of total collections to the county for collection services.

If Forsyth is like most school boards, it doesn't include this fee as a line item in the budget because it comes "off the top" of actual dollars collected*. It is apparent, however, that school officials do factor it into the overall calculation.

The School Board has adopted a millage rate of 14.708. The mathematical millage rate, however, is 14.340. But when you factor in the collection fee, the adjusted mathematical millage is 14.708, the rate adopted by the board.  There is no overtaxation or undertaxation; at least, not on paper.

In the previous three fiscal years, the School Board adopted the same rate, 15.50.  In two of those three years, the mathematical millage as adjusted for the collection fee is also 15.50.

The fact that the Board has adopted the same 15.500 until this year is evidence that the School Board is not "doing the math." It is highly unusual, if not mathematically impossible, for the adopted rate and the adjusted mathematical rate to remain the same over this time period.

From 2002 to 2005, the net tax digest grew annually by 4%, 8% and 12.8%. The portion of the budget to be funded by tax dollars over the same time period increased by roughly 3.9%, 8.6% and 7%. It would be a mathematical miracle for the Board to manipulate increases in both the net tax digest and the budget such that the millage worked out to an even 15.50 each year. Unless....

The Forsyth School Board is apparently matching expenditures to projected revenue. Here is how it works--

The Tax Commissioner's office is updating individual property values and the tax digest in general throughout the year, in preparation for tax billing in November and/or December. Because the system's fiscal year runs from July to June and the millage is set late in the year, the finance department has a fairly accurate net tax digest number to work with.

It is not difficult to estimate, based on the actual growth in the digest, how much revenue a particular millage rate-- in this case 15.50-- will generate. The School Board, desiring no increase in taxes but more than willing to maintain the same rate, matches proposed expenditures to expected revenue.

In other words, the Board does a calculation based on projected revenue:

"With the growth in the tax digest, we're going to bring in XX more dollars with a millage of 15.50. Let's figure out how to spend it."

If the Forsyth County School Board is matching expenditures to expected revenue it illustrates the fact that, even with a mathematical millage, it is incumbent on the taxpayers to closely monitor elected officials.

A mathematical millage does not guarantee that public funds are being spent wisely. It only ensures that the government takes no more and no less money from the taxpayers than is required to fully fund the budget that is formulated and approved. It remains the responsibility of the taxpayer to insist that their representatives hold the line on expenditures and return the benefit of a growing tax digest to the people in the form of a lower millage rate.

Millage History

  • 2002-2003: 15.50
  • 2003-2004: 15.50
  • 2004-2005: 15.50
  • 2005-2006: 14.708

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*This assumption has not been confirmed.

 

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